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points. these are not implausible assumptions. mitt romney would have to get double john mccain's margin of 18 points. could have to up to 36 points. that is if it does not change. d, ands does get realize if the white college graduates face about the same, it means that met romney would have to get north of 40 point margin of the white voter. let's take a look of where we are now. this is the gold standard. breaks. this shows that obama is leading by 8 points. if you look at the averages, it is a bit high. the averages are running about four points. you are probably up by five points. this is within the averages. it is similar to the pole from the heartland monitor which will talk about later. overall top line, a look at the margin, 91 points. that is basically identical. 7222 among 852 margin. most have been showing this. what this means is that the idea that obama could get 80% of the minority vote is quite logical based on these and other data that looks like what he will get. this shows you the break out for college graduates. , obama is doing a little bit better among white graduat
republican senator john mccain, and then the risk of being the frontrunner with obama's senior advisor david axelrod. plus, polls, ads, and early voting. with republican strategist alex castellanos, and cinderella and congressional correspondent dana bash. i'm candy crowley. this is "state of the union." >>> it would not be debate season if the political world and the campaigns didn't play the expectations game. >> the president is obviously a very eloquent, gifted speaker. he will do just fine. >> the president's campaign manager jim mecina called romney a very skilled debater and in an open memo to interested parties, senior advisor david axelroad just as he was in the primaries, we expect mitt romney to be a prepared, disciplined, and aggressive debater. joining me now is someone who knows a thing or two about expectations and debates, republican senator john mccain. a little trip down memory lane there. >> i think both candidates are well prepared, and understandably, you'll see their sur gats lowering expectations. i don't know how our guy will compete, and that's part of the whole rout
of vantage for john mccain, but the polls coming out of pennsylvania again and again show is not doing any better than-15. so basically the state is looking very similarly in terms of its to graphics how the demographics trail for the political support as it did in 2008. the same thing applies to the geographical distribution. you look at how obama is running in the suburbs, similar to how he ran in 2008 and so on. so definitely looking like advantage obama in pennsylvania. michigan is another state where the romney campaign thought they might have iran. this is not happening. michigan is pretty decisively on the side of obama. the geographical pattern of the vote. about as well in the edge for a mature area. the statewide vote in 2008. they're just not much going on there. wisconsin is a state where obviously if there were going to crack the midwest given what's happening with ohio they thought perhaps they could do it in wisconsin. the problem is twofold for them, i think. if you look at the level of demographic change that has taken place in wisconsin, it's actually quite startling acco
>> gretchen: tomorrow, bob massi will be here, senator john mccain and new jersey housewife caroline manzo. rocco is telling us, this used to be 700 calories. >> now 136. >> brian: and counting. >> talk about a government reduction. if we could run the government like this. >> steve: from pasta to politic politics. militias. at the same time there are new questions where this investigation is going if anywhere. remember it has been nearly two weeks since the deadly september 11 attack on a u.s. consulate in benghazi. that is where we begin. i'm bill hemmer. good morning to "america's newsroom.". martha: good morning, everybody. i'm martha maccallum. there are still really a lot of unanswered questions. it is still unclear what the libyan government is doing to bring those killers to justice. president obama yesterday telling the u.n. assembly that america will get to the bottom of the murders of chris stevens and the others. >> the attack on civilians in benghazi were attacks on america. there should be no doubt we will be relentless tracking down the killers and bringing th
years ago, john mccain stood up to a supporter who called then-senator obama an arab. here's his instantaneous, instinctive reaction. take a look. >> i have read about him and he's not -- he's a -- he's an arab. he's not -- >> no, ma'am. >> no? >> no, ma'am, no, ma'am. he's a decent, family man, citizen that i just happen to have disagreements with on fundamental issues. that's what this campaign is all about. >> yeah, that's called honor. it's called honor. we're not seeing a lot of that. we're not seeing any of that. >> i haven't seen that on either side in this campaign. >> john mccain is a genuine guy. disagree with him, agree with him, whatever, it's called honor. the republican party used to believe in that. >> put it more crudely, there's some crap i won't eat. i'm not going to go along with what i see as is an ethnic campaign, that shouldn't be part of this campaign. i'm not going to go along with what you said. that instinctive no, no, is the greatest american spirit. i'm not going to do that. >> imagine mitt romney doing that. >> i would like to see every politician do
in this race, mitt romney would have to get double john mccain's margin of 18 points among the white working class in this election. that's youth turnout doesn't change among minority's despite the shifts in eligible voters. if this does get realize, let's say minority vote share goes up by couple of points, 26% as was in 2008 to 28% in 2012, and again if the white college graduate and minority support stays about the same, it means mitt romney would have to get north of 40-point margin among white working-class voters to actually win the election, to win the popular vote. so let's take look at where we are now based on a reasonable came out. it's the gold standard for polls. a pew research center. no one else -- no offense to anyone else in the room who has april. they really do it right. it's pretty reliable stuff. they give you a lot of interesting demographic breaks tradition as among likely voters that obama is leading now by eight points. if you look at the average of the national polls as a bit high relative to the average. the average has been running about four-point. if you look at
if senator john mccain had not been on the top of the ticket. there is also a open senate seat in the state of arizona that is now in play. outgoing republican senator jon kyl's seat could be turning from red to blue. the republican candidate for senate is congressman jeff flake. he leads democrat challenger richard carmona by only one point in a carmona campaign internal poll. now, congressman flake is a typical republican in speaker boehner's failing house of representatives. he wants to repeal obama care, the affordable care act, he's against same-sex marriage, he's against a woman's light to choose, and the icing on the cake, he voted for paul ryan's, what some people call, immoral budget that completely guts medicaid and dismantles the social safety net in america. his opponent, former george w. bush surgeon general, richard carmona, is taking the opposite approach. >> it's reprehensible to think that the contract that we have with our seniors through medicare or social security is going to be cut. that doesn't make any sense. these are not entitlements. these are, in fact, investments
senator rob portman will star as president obama. he also did it in john mccain's 2008 campaign. ahead of next week's debates, both sides have been lowering expectations. >> the president is, obviously, a very eloquent, gifted speaker. he'll do just fine. >> mitt romney has an advantage because he's been through 20 debates in the primaries oefrt the last year. >> barack obama is a very effective debater. >> we know governor romney is practicing for months. i think the invasion of normandy took less preparation than he's putting into the debates. >> i'm joined by the president of progress and former obama white house adviser and also with us is robert trainum. nera, you helped with hillary clinton's debate preps and you worked robert with with rick santorum and president bush. let's get to the heart of it, robert. both sides lowering expectations, but realistically how important is this debate for romney "nightly newmitt romney? >> it's very important. this is his second time to make an impression. the first time was during the republican convention. the second time is in a situation wh
. the republican party has done, george w. bush, karl rove, john mccain, let's reach out to hispanics and it has become a party that mitt romney -- well, he says that arizona as a model, the dream act that he has a radical policy prescription, health deportation, the idea of making life miserable here and immigrants are little encouraged . this lurch to the right, that strategy means, if you point out in your excellent paper, really, the southwest is out of reach for them in a large part because of this. they are pulled out of new mexico. they had a shock in colorado and nevada. if the turnout is high among latinos, it is not much of one. essentially, the romney strategy has been the economy. cuban-americans in florida, in hopes that we can have just enough of them, because maybe that will be the check, the problem is that even the hispanic electorate has changed. the fastest growing group is the non-latino immigrants who is a litmus test issue. we have part of the latino electorate at stake in a book about all this? would he make of all this? do think this is correct? >> let me just say that i
including john mccain and roy blunt, martin omalley, and david axelrod. at 4:00, the host of the face the nation talks with crist christi, newt gingrich, and marha blackburn. they are brought to you as a public service by the network and c-span. they began at noon eastern with "meet the press," "this week, fox news sunday, state of the union, and face the nation from cbs. you can listen to them all on c- span radio here in the washington, d.c. area. nationwide on xm satellite radio. you can go online to cspanradio.org. >> every nation has -- generation has sacrificed. we were then spending their money. we are now even more -- much more spending their money. we are leaving them a mass that will be a very difficult to deal with hand. just think of who was to come here first and take us over. the last thing i want to see is our country taken over because we are so financially weak we cannot do anything. we are moving in that direction. we are on the edge of the cliff. we have to start fixing it now. otherwise we are leaving a disaster to our children and grandchildren. we could even lose
, their housing prices -- values are going up. you know what i would do is -- you know, john mccain very, very successfully made government seem foolish by picking out stupid earmarks. you know, the strongest argument i've seen mitt romney make is that, you know, the government -- the government's regulatory apparatus has bogged down. you know, i would have him go at stupid regulation tricks. you know, there are all these silly regs that have been passed, you know, in these bills that you used to vote for or vote against, joe. and i think that he has to run against the federal government at this point rather than against the economy. >> willie? >> john? sorry. i thought joe was going to say something. >> no, no, no. i agree with that. i mean, he does have to focus on how massive the federal government's gotten, but he also has to explain how that is going to turn things around for the american people. and you know, john, it's really not that hard of an argument to make when you say there's $3 trillion sitting on the sidelines. investors are afraid to put that back in the u.s. economy. corporat
peksations a-- expect way too high. >> romney is polling worse in favorability right now than john mccain was four years ago at this point. what's that mean now if anything? >> i've been thinking about this. i talked to a friend who is in the other party, i can't say who it is -- >> they got to be worried. >> he said, look, romney's problem isn't that people don't like him. romney's problem is that people think he doesn't like them. that's what the 47% is all about. that's what all of the -- that's what the medicare stuff is all about. >> what about that comment that operative from pennsylvania said about the bain ads. it seems to me nat obama team really coined this guy early. president obama said he looks like the guy who fired you. and then they went on the bain run. and then there was this war on women, which is taken into effect. i mean, every step of the way romney has been on the defensive. >> you and have i talked about this before. he lost the summer, he lost the conventions, he lost the month of september and he can't afford to lose the debates. the obama people were very smart,
john mccain disagreed about the need for rice to be sfirds he made it clear that the attack had been bungled by the white house. >> that doesn't pass the smell test. willful ignorance or abysmal intelligence. >> mitt romney criticized the foreign policy in "the wall street journal" editorial pages he wrote -- romney plans to deliver a major foreign policy address some time after this week's debate. joining us now from washington, is p.j. crowley, former assistant secretary of state for public affairs. it is always great to see you. you always help us make sense of these senseless moments. i guess your -- where do you grade the administration on -- in terms of handling the affairs in benghazi? we know it's a fluid situation. there's been a lot of critique on both sides of the aisle i would say about how precise the white house has been or hasn't been given the information that they have. >> well, there is a fog of war. so as david plouffe said, you learn things as you go along. and clearly this will be a topic of conversation. it could be a topic this week. it will be a topic later in
guess would be five with hillary clinton and three with -- with john mccain. but this, of course, would be the very first debate for -- for governor romney. the cynic in me says this memo is really all about lowering expectations. because if you can lower expectations, whoever beats a low expectation will be the -- the -- seemingly the winner. is that true? >> well, you know, we have televised debates. you have a couple levels of that. you have people who are going to talk about how someone looked, how their makeup looked. remember with nixon it was about how he sweated. with george bush it was about looking at his watch. it's about someone's eye contact with the camera. but what this really still has to come down to is reminding voters what we're facing. and if we continue to import oil, and fund opec and send our soldiers to defend opec oil fields and lose our blood and treasure there, that's a concern. if we talk about the problems with china and the manipulating their currency and that affecting our manufacturing, that's a concern. it's about the cost of health care rising, about go
defeated john mccain. he has opened a lead on mitt romney. i mean, you know, i think it's fantasy to say this is all like the -- you could argue he's had luck but in fact he is good at this. he is good at this. you know, he's got a trial. he's got a track record here. >> all right. >> as i said to david axelrod, mika, the dnc, you people may not know how to run this country but you can put on a campaign. >> yes, yes. david gregory, who do you have on "meet the press thoi sunday? >> we'll talk to chris christie on the program to get his handicapping of the race and the debates ahead. >> that'll be good. chuck todd, see you on "the daily rundown" right after "morning joe." eugene robinson thank you as well. new column in today's "the washington post." joe, bless your heart. in the south, you know what that means? >> go to hell. you're in trouble. >> exactly. >> coming up u.s. senator claire mccaskill of missouri joins the conversation. this happy couple used capital one venture miles for their "destination wedding." double miles you can "actually" use. but with those single mile travel car
, john mccain wasn't the best debater either. >> i talked to nathan sproul, how much ground romney has to gain, could be as much as seven points, that's a lot to gain through a debate performance. two guys can be well prepared, one sitting president. >> he did against bush. >> it is not the debate, what is it for mitt romney in the last five weeks of the campaign to change it. >> i think he has to go big, has to have a couple of really big ideas that connect with the american people and where they are. the economy is slowly getting better. there are real doubts about the medicare plan paul ryan put in place, it is beginning to hurt them in battleground states. i don't think there's one thing that can turn it around for him except the ufo theory which i keep coming back to. just had it again with the terrorist attack on the libyan embassy. things like that can change the elections very quickly. you remember when john kerry ran against george bush on the friday before the election, osama bin laden came out with a screen against america, and people were sticking with what they know on nat
Search Results 0 to 32 of about 33 (some duplicates have been removed)